TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes58c922.86$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.823818.4%7 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed86…6ee1backed No64c780.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f46…a61abacked No2c626.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1f…aa60backed No35c575.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No11c555.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.792686.3%17 W · 251 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No10c553.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4814015%21 W · 119 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes65c495.75$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.164544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No35c464.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7210537.1%39 W · 66 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607735.1%27 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes73c353$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.317627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes80c309.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No23c298.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.593351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db4…07c9backed Yes79c251.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484637%17 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No13c172.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.625437%20 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec39…b65ebacked Yes62c167.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes27c165.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.25per pick29cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes66c164.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.033630.6%11 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6812…d97abacked No32c156.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes65c99.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.074645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked No32c99.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked No20c90.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.258231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No27c88.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410830.6%33 W · 75 L-13.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes64c86.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed Yes66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…2138backed Yes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…d1a1backed Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b741backed No25c49.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed No42c47.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No29c44.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+345.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62d3…b56bbacked Yes54c42.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4934…6d71backed Yes79c40.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9e…4ecabacked No39c38.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…b975backed Yes65c34.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…616dbacked Yes61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4711184.7%94 W · 17 L+11.3wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.