NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14267ebbbc0ac689c27c64836481edeeb8460fcb3cfee5c67903b8377e326916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,418,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,561,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,418,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 37c | 310,225$115,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,950.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Clippers | 59c | 268,105$159,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,604.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 41c | 266,353$109,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,361.09 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Warriors | 40c | 163,842$65,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,225.35 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers | 60c | 162,253$97,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,642.99 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Warriors | 31c | 98,412$30,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,932.13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Warriors | 30c | 79,950$24,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,303.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers | 53c | 68,228$35,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,382.13 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Clippers | 79c | 59,843$47,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.66 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Warriors | 38c | 59,813$22,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,648.8 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Clippers | 63c | 53,860$34,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,840.69 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Warriors | 34c | 51,883$17,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,784.58 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 58c | 50,710$29,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,046.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 36c | 49,524$17,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,823.47 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 39c | 44,204$17,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,413.6 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 40c | 42,069$16,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,877.06 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Clippers | 63c | 40,147$25,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,974.33 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Clippers | 67c | 39,795$26,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,291.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clippers | 63c | 38,223$23,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,256.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 68c | 32,939$22,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Warriors | 43c | 29,491$12,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,777.85 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2d…4556backed Clippers | 69c | 29,173$20,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,043.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Warriors | 37c | 23,999$8,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,808.99 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 32c | 21,820$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.33 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Clippers | 59c | 20,702$12,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.67 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Warriors | 12c | 19,788$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Warriors | 49c | 19,735$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.74 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers | 61c | 19,007$11,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.45 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 42c | 18,192$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers | 59c | 16,294$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.05 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Warriors | 35c | 16,282$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 27c | 16,229$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.25 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers | 58c | 16,071$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Warriors | 30c | 15,328$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Clippers | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Clippers | 60c | 14,507$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Clippers | 63c | 13,942$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clippers | 58c | 13,568$7,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.08 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 31c | 12,718$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 34c | 12,037$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.61 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Clippers | 62c | 11,863$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.1 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 31c | 11,706$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Warriors | 42c | 11,522$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.65 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 59c | 11,427$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 63c | 11,350$7,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 54c | 11,280$6,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors | 42c | 10,651$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.13 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Clippers | 42c | 10,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.95 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 37c | 10,362$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Warriors | 38c | 10,257$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Clippers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…24eebacked Warriors | 0c | 9,424$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Clippers | 61c | 9,030$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.7 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Clippers | 68c | 9,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Clippers | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Clippers | 62c | 8,861$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.08 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Clippers | 70c | 8,721$6,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.05 | 468 | 47.4%222 W · 246 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 8,709$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Warriors | 32c | 8,202$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.84 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Warriors | 55c | 8,195$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Clippers | 60c | 7,650$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers | 64c | 7,116$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Clippers | 64c | 7,099$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.65 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Warriors | 40c | 6,880$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.99 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Warriors | 56c | 6,791$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.95 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Clippers | 58c | 6,767$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Warriors | 5c | 6,666$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Warriors | 37c | 6,501$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.5 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Clippers | 61c | 6,182$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.58 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 33c | 6,173$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.05 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Clippers | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Clippers | 64c | 6,000$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Clippers | 63c | 5,937$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.54 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Clippers | 57c | 5,835$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.17 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Clippers | 70c | 5,729$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.84 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Clippers | 58c | 5,721$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Warriors | 33c | 5,591$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 33c | 5,530$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Clippers | 67c | 5,500$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Clippers | 62c | 5,412$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.41 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 51c | 5,362$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.09 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Warriors | 32c | 5,360$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers | 61c | 5,319$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.24 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Warriors | 47c | 5,183$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.03 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Clippers | 63c | 5,009$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.01 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 41c | 5,006$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.14 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Clippers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Clippers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Clippers | 58c | 4,936$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.2 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Clippers | 59c | 4,918$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Warriors | 25c | 4,776$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.31 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Warriors | 18c | 4,673$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.4 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Warriors | 44c | 4,636$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.71 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Warriors | 44c | 4,596$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.09 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Clippers | 64c | 4,460$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.46 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…b2c3backed Clippers | 69c | 4,111$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippersthis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.