NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1b09887016f2bfc818992e694041b1e2041b61c7b9219ba6655e4288df120bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 51c | 6,414$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.17 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Warriors | 61c | 6,326$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.87 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 49c | 4,417$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.39 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 52c | 3,855$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.73 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 2,290$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors | 10c | 1,419$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 49c | 911.65$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.71 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Clippers | 53c | 871.8$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 12c | 765.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Clippers | 53c | 636.86$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers | 53c | 636.28$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors | 41c | 555.35$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Warriors | 66c | 519.77$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers | 52c | 430.72$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 46c | 417.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 64c | 382.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Clippers | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…b295backed Warriors | 51c | 236.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Warriors | 50c | 204.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Clippers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Clippers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Warriors | 50c | 153.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Warriors | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Warriors | 51c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 80c | 118.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Warriors | 20c | 109.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Warriors | 13c | 99.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 46c | 97.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Clippers | 51c | 95.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers | 46c | 95.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Clippers | 45c | 83.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Clippers | 45c | 83.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Warriors | 46c | 80.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Clippers | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…d8a8backed Clippers | 50c | 67.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers | 52c | 62.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Clippers | 58c | 60.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Clippers | 49c | 59.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 55c | 58.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 49c | 58.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Clippers | 49c | 49.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Clippers | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers | 39c | 41.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Warriors | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Warriors | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Warriors | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 48c | 37.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Clippers | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Clippers | 50c | 33.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Clippers | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Clippers | 58c | 31.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Warriors | 48c | 28.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Clippers | 53c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Warriors | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Clippers | 70c | 27.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Clippers | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Clippers | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.