NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ae6e2a3f39c9885858d09e5486e40223cf2ef2353839d3236b18292d7e5be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.97 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,671$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 52c | 874.02$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 581.1$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 575$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 390.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 372.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 242.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 215.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…21efbacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 185.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 176.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 126.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 54c | 121.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 50c | 78.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 49c | 62.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 55.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 48c | 48.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 48c | 46.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 39.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 39.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 37.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 53c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 29.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 48c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.