NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65efb85d0d0f573bef9d6378f13fd49e37e29c556a0e6b3b3dee2a427ae47366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 10,434$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,454$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 3,432$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 48c | 3,251$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.48 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,561$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Under | 80c | 2,469$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 2,217$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 2,155$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.67 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 51c | 1,854$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.41 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,369$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 1,220$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 48c | 1,211$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.28 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 942.4$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 55c | 784.68$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 752.25$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.65 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 676.6$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 607.12$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 549$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 514.39$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 429.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 404.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 360.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 10c | 357.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 50c | 306.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 303.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Over | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 219.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 202.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 202.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 202.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 53c | 202.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Under | 48c | 187$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 185.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 165.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 53c | 123.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Over | 50c | 102.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 45c | 101.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 99.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 98.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 22c | 95.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 84.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 74c | 78.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 21c | 76.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 32c | 74.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 32c | 68.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Over | 45c | 62.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 48c | 51.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 50.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 47.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 69c | 46.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 41.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 32c | 39.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…c5b7backed Over | 27c | 39.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 70c | 38.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 59c | 33.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 31.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…365abacked Under | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 28.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 52c | 25.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Under | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…d0fdbacked Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Under | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…8a8ebacked Under | 76c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…ce07backed Under | 71c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.