TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Warriors63c2,999$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Warriors57c2,673$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.3419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers31c2,466$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers50c2,286$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers37c886.19$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors70c518.83$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Clippers47c409.27$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Clippers3c398.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.967316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Warriors68c382.19$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Warriors60c325.72$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.526240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Clippers36c321.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers47c316.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.433,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Warriors67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5626755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Warriors67c266.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.987448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Clippers10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Clippers14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Clippers35c240.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Clippers5c240.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Warriors65c226.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5115055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Clippers36c225.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.120040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Clippers10c205$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors58c195.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.371,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers46c181.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.012,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Warriors62c166.77$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.371,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors70c153.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Clippers21c142.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Warriors77c124.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Clippers34c121.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4715650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Clippers37c117.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Clippers14c115$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers39c114.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.761,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Warriors76c114.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.766943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers34c110.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers38c106.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Clippers36c104.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Warriors48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Clippers49c98.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clippers46c97.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Warriors61c91.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers31c89.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2598…17dfbacked Warriors69c88.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Clippers37c84.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2316048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Warriors55c77.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Warriors67c76.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors66c71.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Warriors57c61.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.827646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Clippers35c58.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5214753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Clippers37c58.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.685549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Clippers37c56.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Clippers26c56.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.962123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers34c55.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Warriors55c53.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Clippers41c53.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Warriors65c53.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Warriors63c51.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Warriors60c48.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1411850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Warriors68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Clippers36c41.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.899245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors67c40.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77f…6039backed Clippers44c38.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.792944.8%13 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Warriors57c38.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Warriors70c38.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Warriors61c36.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers33c34.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Clippers34c33.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1916020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Warriors80c32.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Warriors65c31.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Warriors56c31.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8713153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers37c30.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Warriors63c29.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Warriors57c28.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Warriors55c28.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Warriors56c28.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5744347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Warriors57c26.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.475964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors64c26.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Warriors58c24.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Warriors57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Warriors56c22.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1310447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Warriors68c22.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.229244.6%41 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Warriors66c22.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Warriors55c20.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2725348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors63c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Warriors71c17.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Warriors63c15.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.855848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.