NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ce1e17ad80142f84c5d8e962b69bffb590667608ceba7020377fff38f96c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 0c | 15,896$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 42c | 15,776$6,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors | 58c | 14,921$8,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 58c | 6,141$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.32 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Warriors | 57c | 5,068$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.79 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Warriors | 53c | 3,484$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.39 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 49c | 3,457$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 16c | 2,222$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 57c | 2,054$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.7 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors | 15c | 1,613$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.31 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 43c | 1,331$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.02 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers | 42c | 1,319$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.16 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 42c | 1,319$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.16 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Clippers | 42c | 1,313$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.18 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Clippers | 43c | 1,062$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.82 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Clippers | 47c | 809.66$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.44 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Warriors | 56c | 794.44$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Clippers | 45c | 768.71$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Warriors | 79c | 752.11$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 745.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Clippers | 43c | 695.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Clippers | 2c | 640.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 53c | 640.12$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 42c | 526.84$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 15c | 513.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.73 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Warriors | 57c | 496.16$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 15c | 442.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.39 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers | 56c | 380.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Clippers | 18c | 378$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Warriors | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Clippers | 19c | 332.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 44c | 264.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Clippers | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Clippers | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Clippers | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers | 44c | 224.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Clippers | 42c | 206.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 46c | 195.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Clippers | 56c | 177.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Clippers | 46c | 140.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 45c | 135.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Warriors | 46c | 134.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clippers | 49c | 133.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Warriors | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Clippers | 48c | 98.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Warriors | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 48c | 82.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 55c | 78.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 56c | 75.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Clippers | 43c | 60.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 53c | 55.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Clippers | 22c | 54.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Clippers | 29c | 53.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers | 44c | 50.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Clippers | 38c | 49.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Clippers | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Warriors | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Clippers | 42c | 39.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Warriors | 52c | 39.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Clippers | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Clippers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Clippers | 43c | 34.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Clippers | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Clippers | 46c | 29.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Warriors | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Warriors | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Warriors | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Warriors | 57c | 27.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Clippers | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 43c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Warriors | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.