TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors50c10,627$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.691,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc320…f1b9backed Clippers50c8,332$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,166.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Warriors50c8,269$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.6717251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors60c7,858$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.3720758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Clippers50c4,228$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.047852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers42c4,201$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Clippers50c3,938$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.855947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers43c3,330$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.871,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors55c2,729$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors52c2,661$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors51c2,470$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.1217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers54c1,835$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Warriors58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.898756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers40c1,664$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.7763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Warriors60c1,659$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Warriors72c1,654$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Clippers39c1,396$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.941,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Clippers48c1,370$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.398348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Warriors50c1,353$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.391,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Clippers50c1,321$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.8121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Clippers1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Warriors50c1,157$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Clippers50c1,029$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Clippers43c1,012$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.1179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers50c996.3$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Clippers49c995$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5524450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Clippers49c988.79$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Clippers37c949.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9920537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Warriors58c834.6$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.327463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Clippers66c743.31$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.775850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Clippers47c732.75$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clippers50c699.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Warriors57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Clippers46c681.48$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers40c588.18$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers49c568.47$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers40c554.83$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors62c553.82$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers42c545.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…55ecbacked Warriors56c523.34$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.291090%9 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick50cpaid+76.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Warriors58c520$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.45046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warriors32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34068838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Clippers30c474.34$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Clippers44c442.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2536248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Warriors59c429.18$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.964740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Warriors49c409.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Clippers50c388.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19426530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Clippers23c373.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Warriors57c328.56$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Clippers50c308.46$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Warriors64c306.39$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.736240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Clippers33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Clippers33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.997339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Clippers35c287.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Warriors63c244.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.111,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Clippers40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Warriors52c240.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.651855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers42c236.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.391,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0db…dab0backed Warriors51c234.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers40c234.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Clippers23c233.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…8917backed Clippers50c232.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers40c226.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Clippers40c226.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5119254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Clippers33c219$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Warriors53c218.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.451,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Warriors51c203.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8726553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Warriors55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9113953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Clippers51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.066647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Clippers51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0613148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers50c188.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.931,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors63c182.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.261,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors51c175.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers47c173.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ed6…b0b3backed Clippers41c172.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Warriors55c172.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.996450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…82b9backed Warriors74c170.14$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Warriors58c168.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Warriors62c158.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Clippers13c158.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.612449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Clippers27c152$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Clippers33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Clippers40c142.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Clippers22c112$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9621242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Clippers76c107.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Clippers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Warriors73c99.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.511,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors49c97.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Clippers51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Warriors51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6311850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…1a1abacked Warriors48c92.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.866339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Warriors57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers44c85.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Clippers52c82.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6316242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Clippers74c80.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers42c79.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers42c77.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.981,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.