NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e6fab3825cc06a6eefc7c7c5f83dbb333604b2aa5d1dd0c36966d71a131a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors | 54c | 19,838$10,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664.18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 50c | 11,300$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,608.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 10,512$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 50c | 9,855$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.39 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Clippers | 47c | 4,970$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.1 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 55c | 4,873$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.77 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 51c | 4,214$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.99 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Warriors | 49c | 3,942$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 45c | 3,750$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 51c | 2,368$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 50c | 2,182$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Warriors | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 46c | 2,116$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Clippers | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clippers | 50c | 1,884$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Clippers | 49c | 1,191$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.71 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers | 46c | 642.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Clippers | 46c | 642.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 46c | 642.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 46c | 642.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Clippers | 46c | 642.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Clippers | 51c | 609$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.41 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Warriors | 50c | 545.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Clippers | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Warriors | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Clippers | 52c | 308.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers | 52c | 308.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 52c | 288.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Warriors | 50c | 282.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Clippers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Warriors | 53c | 191.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Clippers | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…05f8backed Clippers | 48c | 149.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed Warriors | 49c | 142.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clippers | 51c | 124.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Clippers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Clippers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Clippers | 50c | 117.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Clippers | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Clippers | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Clippers | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Clippers | 48c | 71.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors | 48c | 66.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Clippers | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Warriors | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Clippers | 46c | 59.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Clippers | 49c | 58.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Warriors | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Clippers | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Clippers | 46c | 57.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Clippers | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…24a0backed Warriors | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Clippers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers | 54c | 45.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Warriors | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Clippers | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Clippers | 51c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Clippers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Clippers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed Clippers | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b0f5backed Clippers | 51c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Warriors | 52c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers | 47c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Clippers | 46c | 22.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.