NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cc035cb994a2824055018c5b39ce0d17db5a3b6394805ffb6f7706e87974db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35e4…5946backed Clippers | 0c | 10,660$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 60c | 2,998$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.04 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Clippers | 40c | 2,777$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.81 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 62c | 1,302$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 37c | 900.75$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Clippers | 38c | 760.6$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Clippers | 40c | 751.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Clippers | 39c | 692.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 59c | 604.32$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors | 63c | 503.04$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…9905backed Warriors | 65c | 461.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 41c | 454.85$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 60c | 416.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 59c | 361.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 67c | 253.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Clippers | 75c | 211.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 41c | 132.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Warriors | 50c | 126.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 59c | 105.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Warriors | 19c | 91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…7c07backed Clippers | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Warriors | 58c | 79.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 34c | 73.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 37c | 68.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 34c | 65.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Clippers | 42c | 57.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Warriors | 57c | 56.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Warriors | 68c | 54.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Clippers | 38c | 52.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Warriors | 62c | 46.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Warriors | 57c | 45.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Warriors | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Warriors | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Clippers | 40c | 42.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Clippers | 33c | 40.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Clippers | 36c | 40.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Clippers | 39c | 40.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Clippers | 46c | 40.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 58c | 39.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Clippers | 38c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Warriors | 54c | 34.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Warriors | 54c | 34.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Clippers | 33c | 33.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…35a4backed Clippers | 59c | 33.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers | 35c | 32.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Clippers | 41c | 30.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Clippers | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Warriors | 53c | 24.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…ad68backed Clippers | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Warriors | 55c | 21.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Warriors | 53c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.