NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82beeded3fd5af018e641a21057d5bdb95cba3235c69262d9c234668b730e2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 952.7$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 56c | 870.41$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.63 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 821.49$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 546.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Under | 49c | 349.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 332.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Under | 47c | 299.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 50c | 288.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 242$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 186.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 166.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 141.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 51c | 113.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 46c | 96.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Over | 54c | 92.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 89.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 85.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 44c | 66.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 57.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 50.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 49c | 39.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 36.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Under | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 30.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 56c | 29.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 22.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 71c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.