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NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c4,026$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.353,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c3,968$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under56c2,132$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over48c1,710$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.1517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over31c968.33$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.812,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c836.51$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c767.15$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.841,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Under67c755.82$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over27c627.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5518844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under3c599.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under55c546.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.398846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Over69c536.12$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.784067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under10c530$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under11c525.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under44c489.3$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.81,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under6c440$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.431238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under16c437$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c435.06$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under22c387.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8120353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under52c353.01$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.331345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c347.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c308.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c262.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.81,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over32c231.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.271,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under37c204.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.651,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c202.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over37c183.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.672740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c177.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c174.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under64c173.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3810764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over59c167.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2321350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under46c160.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0427245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c155.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over43c154.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c146.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Under65c146.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6812855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c136.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c133.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over50c132.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c130.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c118.95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.041,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over20c117.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over40c116.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over53c116.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9119254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c111.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over52c99.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8710447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over51c99.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over51c99.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6325348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over29c95.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.981,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under50c90.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over63c90.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.753560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c85.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c84.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over51c84.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over51c84.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under49c83.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.157572%54 W · 21 L+11.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over27c79.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0310523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under54c78.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.713863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c76.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over46c75.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c70.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under54c69.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5513155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over51c64.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6326345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under64c63.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3813950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under71c61.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.965364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over56c61.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over30c59.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9915351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under57c59.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over54c59.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.474658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over46c56.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ae…9ba6backed Under69c54.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.091030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under42c53.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7336949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under47c51.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under49c50.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9337848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over27c50.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6614359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under31c49.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4513837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under61c44.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c40.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under74c39.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.537763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over33c33.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.155738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over63c31.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7116242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec3…2c88backed Over47c30.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.095761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c30.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over51c30.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over41c28.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.083857.9%22 W · 16 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c25.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.