Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace415c0e0a21b58a864722a50c95927f9b938fbe5e97c4f6a53ca1d1a634105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 46,850$32,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,211.13 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 43c | 18,754$8,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,634.38 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 12c | 8,630$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,572.15 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 7c | 7,691$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 36c | 6,903$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.78 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,856$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.73 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…b0d6backed Yes | 49c | 2,565$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 40c | 2,024$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,443$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.55 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 1,441$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 51c | 1,346$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.96 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 71c | 1,253$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.8 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 28c | 1,238$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 7c | 1,196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 38c | 1,154$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,131$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,085$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 27c | 907$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.34 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 68c | 888.57$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 826.65$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.74 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 788.02$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.46 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 659$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 28c | 600.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 502.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 57c | 486.69$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 3c | 437.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 422.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 32c | 409.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 8c | 407.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 34c | 400$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…bb87backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 348.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…648cbacked Yes | 36c | 301.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 41c | 270$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 267.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…46c0backed Yes | 29c | 255.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 34c | 236.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 216$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…5dd2backed Yes | 41c | 196.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 47c | 189.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 22c | 173.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 35c | 164.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 8c | 151.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 143.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 37c | 136.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 16c | 135.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 48c | 125.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…f6d0backed No | 74c | 124.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 24c | 105.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 96.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 19c | 95.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…ba26backed Yes | 46c | 86.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 57c | 86.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 65c | 83.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 74c | 83.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 46c | 83.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 21c | 80.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…3da3backed Yes | 40c | 79.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 57c | 76.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 79c | 75.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 27c | 72.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 70c | 68.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 30c | 67.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 19c | 64.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 50c | 61.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 71c | 59.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 56c | 54.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…7493backed No | 75c | 54.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…6a6ebacked Yes | 72c | 49.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 39c | 48.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Yes | 40c | 48.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 46.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 37c | 44.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 59c | 41.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 63c | 41.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…6270backed Yes | 35c | 40.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 70c | 40.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.