Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4570dc782b77b4ab73751487189cd7d245682fa1a41bb3438d84d62601a6b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 56c | 18,818$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,372.63 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 33c | 8,896$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.92 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 46c | 6,677$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.94 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 12c | 6,399$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.15 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,230$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1169backed Yes | 51c | 5,105$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 78c | 5,015$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.53 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 4c | 4,152$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 13c | 3,260$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.93 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,990$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 11c | 2,260$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…b0d6backed Yes | 49c | 2,065$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 64c | 1,409$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.76 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 23c | 1,108$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Yes | 60c | 1,010$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 44c | 1,006$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 32c | 985.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.27 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 39c | 765.3$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 730.52$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 47c | 678.71$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…bb87backed Yes | 25c | 599.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 2c | 507.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 76c | 499.34$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 490.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 29c | 431.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 14c | 401.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…cb78backed Yes | 11c | 319.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 53c | 299.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes | 4c | 291.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 69c | 285.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 279.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 72c | 279.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…5dd2backed Yes | 50c | 243.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 240.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 229.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 225.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…6a6ebacked Yes | 48c | 210.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed No | 70c | 189.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 180$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 178.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…46c0backed Yes | 54c | 154.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 46c | 145.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 50c | 122.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 119.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 50c | 118.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 114.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…f0ddbacked Yes | 12c | 105.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…5ec3backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 64c | 96.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…b3d1backed Yes | 15c | 93.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 89.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 68c | 83.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 14c | 76.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…15e5backed Yes | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 16c | 72.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked Yes | 31c | 69.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 61c | 68.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 15c | 66.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 48c | 66.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c355backed Yes | 17c | 61.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 41c | 55.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 54.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 39c | 50.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…bbd2backed Yes | 50c | 49.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 52c | 48.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 52c | 47.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Yes | 53c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…86debacked Yes | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4467…cbfcbacked Yes | 69c | 43.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 59c | 41.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…f433backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…ba26backed Yes | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 78c | 32.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…7970backed No | 52c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 31.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 65c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…5682backed Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 39c | 27.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…7fb4backed Yes | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.