Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1dec539ed69fcf353e46ea1dd8d60c13ee2dd0fab79bb460b7210dcc3e0d023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 14c | 6,828$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.47 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,540$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.08 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 4,866$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.84 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,384$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.13 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 2,698$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 2c | 1,662$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 37c | 1,237$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.51 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 10c | 967.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 899$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 63c | 827.11$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.03 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 700.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 641.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 4c | 599.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 5c | 551.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 38c | 368.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 76c | 348.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 14c | 208.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 72c | 188.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 176$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 24c | 173.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes | 27c | 167.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 26c | 162.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 27c | 134.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…8ad9backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…6267backed Yes | 14c | 104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 97.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…d057backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 76.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 75.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 71.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 66.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 57c | 63.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1e43backed No | 61c | 36.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…c6c3backed No | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Yes | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 59c | 21.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…33ddbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 70c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.