Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19902ff5a3c431f29fd0c3729132918f73c941ef9c7d5c317485f281ed646a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 10c | 10,318$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.4 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,759$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,657$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,271$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,611$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,345$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…cb78backed Yes | 5c | 1,272$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 11c | 820.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 714.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 7c | 451.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 9c | 379.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 6c | 338.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 272.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…5adebacked No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf947…016bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.