TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,493,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,598,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,493,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c130,317$47,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,086.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over60c103,589$61,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,664.3117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c66,534$35,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,026.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over69c44,370$30,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,468.5510057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over61c44,113$27,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,062.5177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over55c42,895$23,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,540.089839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under26c37,321$9,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,653.1751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c28,443$20,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,135.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c26,833$11,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,048.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c20,547$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,410.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under61c19,464$11,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.9536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under26c18,994$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,055.5629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over25c16,299$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.6249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over73c15,002$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under26c15,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,099.8617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under40c13,108$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,864.8174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over74c12,423$9,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,232.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under46c11,608$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,294.6344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over75c11,458$8,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.6910355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c11,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over72c11,060$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…fe5ebacked Over51c9,614$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Over75c9,459$7,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.544548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8081…18b8backed Under54c9,341$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.663158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under30c9,000$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,33047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c8,556$5,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,823.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c8,507$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under26c8,442$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.0825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over41c8,252$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.2225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under29c7,979$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.7348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under26c7,804$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.2974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under30c7,600$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.9244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over73c7,412$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.2233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under70c7,273$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.2637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over73c7,000$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.918158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over74c6,672$4,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.162080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over53c6,456$3,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under78c6,384$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.3764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under45c6,248$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.2214946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under55c6,222$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.122,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over73c6,200$4,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over68c5,662$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,857.0639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over66c5,518$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.0636234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c5,455$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.651,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Under67c5,221$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.438552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Over75c5,000$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7701668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9912655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under29c4,968$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.791,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under30c4,800$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.9747442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under26c4,761$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.431,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over4c4,735$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c4,610$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over4c4,223$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over27c4,122$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under27c4,090$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.3861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under27c3,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under37c3,613$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.9342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c3,508$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.811,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Over30c3,501$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.995343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under30c3,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c3,373$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.911,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over73c3,351$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.326070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c3,223$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c3,207$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over64c3,184$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.0133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c3,137$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under29c3,066$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.099243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over63c2,991$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.581225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over67c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.146459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under32c2,792$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.296953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c2,715$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.421,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over69c2,591$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.7913461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over64c2,563$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.971,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under55c2,555$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.162737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x650a…e1aebacked Over69c2,469$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7073644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under27c2,407$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.4114564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over71c2,356$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over59c2,222$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.9817636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over62c2,075$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.2710128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c2,015$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.3318465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9719545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under55c1,900$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.3541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked Under29c1,850$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.491752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Over74c1,800$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.99475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under30c1,794$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.1550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under57c1,727$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.0963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under30c1,670$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9924136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under64c1,638$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over62c1,582$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3217534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over62c1,580$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.3327032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over62c1,562$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.2537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under30c1,557$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a2…63d5backed Over73c1,536$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1217946.8%37 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under19c1,406$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.2637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.