TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over5c31,818$1,587 inLost-$1,586.712,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over4c5,500$217 inLost-$216.8660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over5c4,828$259 inLost-$259.4332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c3,920$59 inLost-$58.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4280…f363backed Over5c3,818$191 inLost-$190.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over5c2,732$130 inLost-$129.761,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over4c2,194$97 inLost-$96.5516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over5c2,000$100 inLost-$99.9958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c1,903$95 inLost-$94.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over4c1,890$75 inLost-$75.3478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over3c1,500$48 inLost-$4810026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over4c1,420$55 inLost-$54.511756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over2c1,097$26 inLost-$25.916325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over5c1,029$50 inLost-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost-$5034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over2c999.99$17 inLost-$1733120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c819.94$33 inLost-$32.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c657.27$22 inLost-$22.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over5c638.3$30 inLost-$3026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over4c625.25$25 inLost-$2523529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over5c600$30 inLost-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over4c555.56$20 inLost-$2036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over5c529.25$26 inLost-$26.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over4c500$20 inLost-$2019653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c440.62$21 inLost-$21.1595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over5c432.51$21 inLost-$21.1137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over5c431.3$22 inLost-$21.571,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over4c399.95$15 inLost-$14.899830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over4c300$12 inLost-$1218911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over5c291.8$15 inLost-$14.5959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbeb…f499backed Over5c272.73$15 inLost-$152420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc944…1686backed Over4c250$10 inLost-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over5c188.8$10 inLost-$10.0173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.