TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over31c32,635$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c20,871$6,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c19,448$13,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c19,159$13,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,681.691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over30c15,696$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under69c12,500$8,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c12,081$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.3451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c8,458$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c7,445$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c7,097$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c4,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over15c4,216$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3413727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under70c4,055$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c3,785$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over11c3,700$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9721631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over15c3,655$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over29c2,717$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over2c2,638$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under69c2,348$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c2,308$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under68c2,060$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1959752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c1,825$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over30c1,678$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over30c1,584$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6927227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under71c1,444$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under70c1,428$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3338351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Under73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under69c1,296$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7618850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under71c1,250$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Over27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under70c861.25$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked Over18c800$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.21526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c727.15$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.893,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over13c699.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c695.08$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under70c680.3$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under69c672$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over8c657.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18619545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over31c564.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over2c510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under69c504.86$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over30c441$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.315440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c416.93$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.481,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over18c413$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over28c412.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over30c410$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over29c400$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11735424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12037051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c394.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over30c393.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11832922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over17c390.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.491,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over30c371.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Over3c361.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under70c346.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.227637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c310.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over31c306.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c301.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under69c285$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.351,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over26c263$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.861,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over30c246.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.631,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under70c214$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.215149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over31c204.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.513543.7%59 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over7c200.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.437622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6034351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over17c198.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over30c196.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under66c193$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8516641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Under71c192$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.685341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Over32c190.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over31c190.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5912419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over16c188.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Under70c182.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.876759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under70c181$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.913,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.