Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea2fe69ce259e0d681aafdbb9f60497a14ca1770e7f56578763e4d59d602d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 3,998$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 2,053$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,611$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.32 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,533$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,006$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 27c | 674.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.69 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 442$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 46c | 399.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 53c | 399.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 56c | 349.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 55c | 305.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Over | 54c | 305$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 280.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 184.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 181.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 54c | 129.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf150…b6ffbacked Over | 54c | 111.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Over | 53c | 92.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 73.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 67.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 65.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 55c | 51.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 55c | 50.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Over | 53c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +10.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 54c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec3f…392ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 71c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Spain won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.