TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c43,244$34,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under78c11,033$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.031,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over17c9,784$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.42,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c8,572$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over24c5,986$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.582,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c5,553$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.332,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over20c4,843$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.7165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c4,673$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over19c3,127$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.131,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c2,721$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c2,552$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under74c1,782$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c1,566$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over26c1,456$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over25c1,373$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c1,175$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over24c1,000$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over26c924.87$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2217625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over27c852.04$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.059237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under77c755.09$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over25c755$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.75224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over27c751.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over28c723.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over15c718.84$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c671.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16219545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d6…0a88backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over21c399.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.912,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over23c372.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over24c340.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.765735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.252,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over17c300.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over18c259$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8522623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over24c258.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.473,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Over24c258.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.042437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Over23c236.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over25c204.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over24c198$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508927%24 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over24c148.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over24c148.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5715645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c142.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.091,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c140.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.831,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over17c114.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4113119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…4d89backed Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Over26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under76c95.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Over26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…68a4backed Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154418.2%8 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb43f…5778backed Over26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185056%28 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b0…f9cbbacked Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Under78c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.239956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac52…75cabacked Over26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b60…f6e1backed Over23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211626.7%31 W · 85 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over25c41.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.282,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under80c39.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0463255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under76c23.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6378559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c23.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b48…1d20backed Under75c22.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6123866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.525655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under77c16.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8627663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under77c16.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8622957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae41…8311backed Under77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.