Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8001266a7caab194d1afccf2c07544773b11c59481f85e3a043d6229af3649ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 15c | 7,960$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.63 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 16c | 4,139$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.2 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 2,519$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 6c | 2,330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,379$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 15c | 1,055$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 17c | 1,029$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 20c | 772.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 17c | 697.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 16c | 580.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…6b4dbacked Yes | 15c | 473.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 367$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 14c | 355.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…11c2backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…c527backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 17c | 288.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…e9eabacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 6c | 206.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 16c | 191.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…df6abacked Yes | 12c | 157.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…5b89backed Yes | 15c | 143.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…15a0backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 16c | 87.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…4cbdbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…c3ffbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc509…f0eebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…a397backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…8d81backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Spain won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.