TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$556,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c274,195$131,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,180.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c91,557$48,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,509.7421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over54c76,429$41,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,341.823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over52c50,551$26,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,524.987140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c50,000$25,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,607.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c13,919$6,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,502.2974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over52c11,916$6,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,161.7565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c11,075$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,533.821,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c10,913$5,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,790.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c10,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.999823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under46c9,318$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,031.936114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c8,956$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c8,152$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.82,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over45c7,473$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.5841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c6,792$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c6,752$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.8522451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Over50c6,559$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2804250%21 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9816258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over54c5,535$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c5,427$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c4,758$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under47c4,618$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.11,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under47c4,582$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.531,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0805824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over52c3,722$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.1115843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over54c3,687$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c3,000$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under50c2,979$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over53c2,800$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48443248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under63c2,385$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over52c2,226$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.474348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under49c2,010$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.1311552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over16c1,882$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c1,760$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.0767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…affabacked Over54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,604$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over54c1,425$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.2317650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecb…03eebacked Over53c1,299$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under46c1,170$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.817747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over53c1,111$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380d…f3c2backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…9850backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9911147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…0d1bbacked Over53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c971.68$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.741,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Over52c963.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under47c939.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c925.44$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.541,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over51c925.13$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.181,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c922.8$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over54c916.31$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8134751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…f50ebacked Under51c916$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.841752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over56c892.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over61c819.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over52c766.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Over54c710.9$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c702.56$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.462,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under48c653.34$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.731,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d54…6ce7backed Over52c648.12$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.024551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over48c645.83$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32511335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Over50c601.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over6c593.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21eb…6dedbacked Over47c558.62$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c553.17$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c548.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.082,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under66c538.46$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.491,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over53c528.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27032046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de5…eea0backed Over50c476.56$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.281250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c472.26$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8385…f668backed Over55c433.27$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over52c409$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6814440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over52c400$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20711846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c396.59$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.141,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c394.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.361,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c389.37$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Over52c373.12$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0210131.7%32 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under47c345$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.