TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c20,371$8,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,502.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over20c12,499$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.810840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over54c10,023$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.369823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c7,994$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c6,419$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under42c6,230$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.3929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under70c4,270$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.46459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Over52c4,250$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.498552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c3,429$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.842,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c3,000$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c2,615$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under42c1,855$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.8612753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under42c1,780$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.3846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c1,774$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.252,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c1,515$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.582,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c1,251$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over32c1,170$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.92,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c1,159$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c1,144$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…5405backed Under44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.367038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over51c1,114$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5695740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over59c1,111$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4917636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c1,053$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.71,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,046$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over56c1,043$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.946741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under42c1,008$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5881,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over52c956.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39632959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over56c879.29$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.48652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Under51c655.46$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.061258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under46c562.2$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5910142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c522.49$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.061,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under45c489.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under45c460$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under42c456.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.695259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c433.85$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.592,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c310.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.22,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…0107backed Under50c294.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23c…ffacbacked Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c249.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.71,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Over54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c217.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea4b…1141backed Over49c211.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.65541.8%23 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over39c207$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.352,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9d…0b38backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b4…1fd5backed Under45c184.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.441241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under53c179.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3914655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…f776backed Under53c173.24$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.241650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2120841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c164.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c159.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.143,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over49c148.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.725044%22 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c127.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under47c120.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.671,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over49c118$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5411811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2821247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Under45c114.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8211355.8%63 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Over53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under42c104.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6145254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ee…6917backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0413365.4%87 W · 46 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.122944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6a…4694backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506943.5%30 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…0b45backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Under52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.999444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over37c99.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c96.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…08e9backed Over52c96.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…c6cabacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…c6e2backed Over50c90.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Under43c86.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.273751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under46c85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.817432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under43c82.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a2…58fdbacked Over52c80.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.881450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over54c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76fb…5ef5backed Over50c78.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.32556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf794…e9eabacked Over56c66.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under47c63.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12f…a839backed Over53c62.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.871,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.