TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,609,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,600,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,609,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Over45c1,106,717$499,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499,999.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under55c599,819$327,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,871.6874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c519,680$279,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,573.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3f…764cbacked Over49c382,166$186,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,019.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea40…8826backed Over50c380,000$190,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c253,179$130,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,803.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4277…31a7backed Over49c219,937$107,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,769.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under54c189,500$102,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,169.8632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over45c184,663$83,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,701.8664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c181,214$92,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,114.0477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c154,806$79,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,172.781,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c147,445$67,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,867.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under53c132,878$70,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,025.7342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ae…337cbacked Over46c101,254$46,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,576.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c80,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,399.9715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under52c80,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,999.9713543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under54c78,833$42,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,263.1817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under54c77,232$42,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,185.0813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under53c59,214$31,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,730.5317852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c58,484$26,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,258.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over46c57,321$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,4008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c52,222$27,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,61142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under56c49,420$27,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,936.795745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under55c41,109$22,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,518.595543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c40,836$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.1851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4008349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c39,782$11,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,055.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c39,140$27,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,589.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c37,300$20,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1586758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under57c33,930$19,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,656.54348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.8827039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c27,503$12,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,758.3523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c24,733$10,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,268.961,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over42c23,910$10,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,042.188735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c21,237$11,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,925.561,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c20,815$10,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,925.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over48c20,434$9,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,808.284235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Over48c20,318$9,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,752.646021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under53c20,171$10,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,580.469650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under51c19,538$10,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,525.384856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c19,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9005653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under53c18,000$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,379.974344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under53c16,768$8,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,869.712458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under61c16,393$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.4410457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under54c15,824$8,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,258.6716357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9217748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under58c14,041$8,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,897.2212255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under56c14,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd86b…e4e0backed Under60c12,568$7,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over47c12,500$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,874.989846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under53c12,192$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.458348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Over47c12,191$5,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,729.754829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Under53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6401560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under53c11,800$6,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.974055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c11,526$5,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under55c11,450$6,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.112138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Under55c11,258$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c10,906$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over47c10,504$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.047034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under54c10,010$5,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.726447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9121937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under56c9,416$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.2236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under60c9,075$5,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under52c8,954$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.0150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under59c8,460$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.1913746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over39c8,055$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.2158049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over42c8,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under55c8,000$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.9910555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over46c7,910$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.7616549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under52c7,694$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.127452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over44c7,655$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.0536250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c7,523$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.822,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over21c7,299$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under54c7,031$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.69647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Under53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2905339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under54c6,959$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.6323949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under58c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.748041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under55c6,653$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.4611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under64c6,595$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.2465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c6,581$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.771,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under52c6,500$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…aa54backed Over47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c6,363$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.351,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa56a…30febacked Over47c6,064$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8501442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over48c6,025$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.528158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over34c5,840$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.8819329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Under55c5,655$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.562548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…329abacked Over47c5,501$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over46c5,485$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over46c5,435$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9314445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under48c5,155$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.184740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under54c5,016$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.736648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35010146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.