TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb892…2ce1backed Under79c2,418$1,910 inWon+$507.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over21c2,400$504 inLost-$50414433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over19c1,600$300 inLost-$30016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over20c500$100 inLost-$10033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Over20c256.1$50 inLost-$5011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under80c245.45$196 inWon+$49.541,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over18c222.22$40 inLost-$4023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over21c200$42 inLost-$4220325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over19c186.11$35 inLost-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over19c184.89$36 inLost-$35.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over20c150$30 inLost-$304420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b2…ada3backed Over18c83.33$15 inLost-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae4…9cdbbacked Over18c74.17$13 inLost-$13.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over20c55$11 inLost-$1149426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under80c50$40 inWon+$102,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under79c20.08$16 inWon+$4.1623866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.