TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,265 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under57c8,055$4,583 inWon+$3,472.258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Over43c8,000$3,440 inLost-$3,439.9913639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Under57c875.93$500 inWon+$375.93825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over45c618.31$278 inLost-$27817241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over43c237.63$102 inLost-$101.671,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c227$125 inWon+$102.152,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c227$125 inWon+$102.152,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c159.75$69 inLost-$68.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c143.38$62 inLost-$61.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under56c133.31$75 inWon+$58.3114029.3%41 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c110.22$48 inLost-$47.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Over42c94.42$40 inLost-$409231.5%29 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under59c62.44$37 inWon+$25.652,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c59.02$26 inLost-$26.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c56$31 inWon+$25.23,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over40c50$20 inLost-$2014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…b30abacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost-$2013735%48 W · 89 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under55c44$24 inWon+$19.842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over55c37.61$21 inLost-$20.6987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c34.77$16 inLost-$16.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Over40c30$12 inLost-$126046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c28.78$13 inLost-$12.661,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…4aa9backed Over40c25$10 inLost-$102944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.