Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253b415aec6c15d21f81c5a534571237afb7aa2201399c0e5534f5f4e18fa195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed No | 76c | 2,209$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 1,271$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed No | 78c | 1,253$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 26c | 1,144$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 21c | 1,081$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 72c | 896.68$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 654.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 540$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 355.86$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 76c | 277.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 23c | 228.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 78c | 219.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 72c | 202.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 190.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 180.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 72c | 170.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 28c | 164.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 158.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 152.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 33c | 136.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 19c | 130.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 68.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 78c | 55.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 48.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 75c | 45.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 75c | 36.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 26.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Spain won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.