TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Uruguayof Spain, Uruguay
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9340…ae1dbacked Spain13c84,569$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Spain16c23,485$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.631225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain15c18,572$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.052,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spain6c13,014$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Spain13c12,789$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.41,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Spain9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Spain14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Spain15c7,777$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Spain16c7,500$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.236737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Spain6c6,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Spain15c5,446$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.6251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain15c4,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Spain16c4,326$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…2a14backed Spain14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Spain15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Spain19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Spain15c2,412$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain15c2,383$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Spain15c2,356$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.468853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Spain9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Spain19c2,165$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.242025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Spain15c2,052$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8516831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spain14c1,999$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.599450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain8c1,675$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spain14c1,571$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain8c1,253$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Spain3c1,211$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8910544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Spain13c999.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Spain10c887.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1424136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain11c818.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Spain15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Spain14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Spain19c699.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9914235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Spain6c687$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.371,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Spain15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Spain13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain14c589.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.562,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Spain3c587.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe03b…e801backed Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Spain19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Spain15c506.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Spain16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Spain14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Spain13c454.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1420646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain15c435$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.251,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Spain15c395.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.397138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Spain6c382.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Spain7c379.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Spain14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Spain14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Spain19c347.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26bc…70a3backed Spain14c344.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.272810.7%3 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Spain15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Spain15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Spain16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Spain15c300$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4648147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain11c268.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Spain15c263.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Spain19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Spain15c249.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4111338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Spain18c243.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…3721backed Spain15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365444.4%24 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Spain14c209.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Spain19c206.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.168121%17 W · 64 L-11.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Spain15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Spain14c199.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.863450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Spain15c193.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Spain13c192.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6212035%42 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Spain15c188.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Spain9c175.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Spain15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511439.5%45 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bee…8e6ebacked Spain12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…3c26backed Spain12c161.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eaa…9068backed Spain11c160$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.220851.9%108 W · 100 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Spain14c157.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Spain14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012733.9%43 W · 84 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1348…3dc2backed Spain14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Spain15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217412.2%9 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Spain15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Spain15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb860…a397backed Spain16c127.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spain9c119$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ce…6bc2backed Spain19c116.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8f…943fbacked Spain13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x874a…b381backed Spain14c111.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165819%11 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Spain14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4565…6527backed Spain19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…2d25backed Spain19c104.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95129.4%15 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Spain14c100.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…51b4backed Spain14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147556%42 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.