TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$934,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$930,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c231,389$130,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,816.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes39c63,505$24,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,648.411,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c43,473$19,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,727.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes48c42,545$20,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,481.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes50c40,160$20,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,02418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c35,621$18,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,077.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No48c33,162$15,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,251.4322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No48c33,150$15,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,237.846050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c25,387$11,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,890.671,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6799…9cc2backed Yes50c23,868$11,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,907.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Yes50c19,722$9,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,860.87448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c18,634$9,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,654.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes52c15,380$7,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.613543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes51c15,074$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.689345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No49c15,059$7,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,654.2774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes44c14,564$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,471.97140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No48c14,335$6,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4546634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No51c14,257$7,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,985.9120333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes49c14,082$6,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.676134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes50c12,873$6,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37922752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c12,723$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes50c11,358$5,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,715.5313746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No48c11,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.978046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes52c10,888$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,661.7663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7a…aa54backed Yes48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No67c9,745$6,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.5810562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c8,898$4,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes50c8,858$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.3223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes45c8,821$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0096631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes48c8,575$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.752,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Yes50c8,500$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2656662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes44c8,333$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9719529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes51c6,667$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No49c6,520$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.229740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No53c6,500$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.9431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.2222451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…01b1backed Yes52c5,934$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.493754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes51c5,803$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.364060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No51c5,799$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.3118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No52c5,524$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.231,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No53c4,826$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed No57c4,308$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.5713151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes46c4,175$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c4,001$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323c…71bcbacked Yes34c3,944$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c3,760$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes52c3,501$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.341,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Yes48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6802626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes27c3,482$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.1620646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Yes48c3,430$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.42347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Yes46c3,235$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.972544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed No56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5714946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No55c2,566$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.2328042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4628…d573backed No52c2,545$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c2,345$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes16c2,344$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No51c2,255$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0348355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No50c2,100$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.9618848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacca…48fcbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes49c2,067$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.9618343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No52c2,019$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.0959752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes39c1,701$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.8162633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c1,669$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed No53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.435540%22 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed No53c1,489$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.833237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No57c1,452$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes42c1,384$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9718056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c1,359$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.171,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed No49c1,350$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.58847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes48c1,337$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes48c1,297$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4710331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe8…7cd0backed Yes34c1,289$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-84.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No49c1,280$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.813951.8%72 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c1,250$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No51c1,218$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8114344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes30c1,204$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49e…3836backed Yes52c1,150$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5981735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…c114backed Yes44c1,147$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010120.8%21 W · 80 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c75…65ccbacked Yes44c1,143$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cb…0c27backed Yes52c1,141$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x719e…ab05backed Yes52c1,138$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.791741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…cc08backed Yes52c1,137$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes50c1,120$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes45c1,110$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.515127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb6…1f31backed Yes52c1,046$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c1,041$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.322,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c1,041$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.322,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.