TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c48,715$19,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,596.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over66c22,028$14,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,476.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Over66c12,600$8,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.969247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over66c10,014$6,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.7629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Over60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under34c8,110$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c6,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9711654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over49c4,776$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.5825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over37c4,572$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.3364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under61c4,230$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.484472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under2c3,750$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7117827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c3,559$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c3,130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c2,857$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c2,693$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Under3c2,670$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.661915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over67c2,546$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.1827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over39c2,473$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.3916755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over65c1,999$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.821631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under2c1,747$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9420150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under2c1,730$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5317534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under2c1,667$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under2c1,625$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c1,586$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Under34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9619342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under2c1,025$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over52c965$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.215246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c887.42$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under66c884.77$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under34c837.53$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.251,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over43c815.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.066947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over66c812$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.085947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over72c768.89$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.893873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c744.56$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Under35c728.57$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over66c703.28$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c700.68$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.772,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under17c696$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.792,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under72c694.02$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under61c644.53$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4333438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over50c630.02$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.018843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over66c604.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6631435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under35c595$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.255930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under34c585.29$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19911934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under6c560.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.342,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over44c522.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7312140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under32c522.36$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0516641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over68c521.87$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.831,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under3c509.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under59c500.75$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under9c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under7c492.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.211,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under17c480.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under34c473.12$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.31,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under34c459.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under57c428.47$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2327931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a2…dbbcbacked Over46c427.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under33c363.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under15c346.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.699659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c287.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e6…a4b4backed Over66c287.3$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over65c228.74$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0611135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2740435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under21c217.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.291,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c216.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over63c214.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.196346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc9…f1b6backed Over43c200.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11627637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6822452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over66c183.94$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5415156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over33c182.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d9…43a1backed Under18c176.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.994247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5247935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over67c150.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0711965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over66c145.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5722560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.375945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over24c129.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7640912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2136024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2114854.7%81 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…e0f7backed Over66c127.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.334957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…ca25backed Over49c127.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.813234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over65c123.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.195271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.