TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$375,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c41,317$31,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,493.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over11c22,880$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under74c13,000$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over25c12,021$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over26c10,385$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under76c7,740$5,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.751,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under75c5,590$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.5132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under74c4,773$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over27c4,444$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under73c4,289$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1411,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c4,239$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under75c4,186$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c4,014$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.871,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over27c3,963$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.432,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over11c3,467$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over7c3,269$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under75c3,103$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.852,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c2,952$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over23c2,852$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over16c2,796$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2712114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over21c2,550$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over24c2,506$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c2,501$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over26c2,346$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Over25c2,135$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c2,004$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over12c1,837$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.29821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over13c1,769$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over23c1,732$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over23c1,672$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c1,569$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over17c1,332$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over22c1,317$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7830220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c1,250$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over22c1,199$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over21c1,170$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under76c1,124$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under79c1,039$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.244665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Over26c1,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Over18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under75c885.16$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2934751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over27c869.36$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.739635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Over27c833.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over20c810.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.271,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c807.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.142,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c767.18$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c745.28$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.281,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c693.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.281,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over25c647.32$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16125737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da9…43d1backed Over22c613.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over28c528.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over27c525.33$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8415141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004015%6 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…1d02backed Over22c485.48$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over16c467.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over24c464.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.61,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8502…a60fbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c428.28$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.631,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under74c413.62$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5414564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7903…685bbacked Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084124.4%10 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over27c399.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe03b…e801backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under74c376.15$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under74c375.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5325844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c373.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.