Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5708a1a592904bf3c74a0c0c0ac0a67fcfc5143e6e03a563b4a0fab26c1ed6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 90,579$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Under | 7c | 19,966$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 16,466$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.24 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Under | 15c | 13,500$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 12,812$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.89 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 6,596$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.11 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 7c | 6,148$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 8c | 5,729$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.34 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 8c | 5,584$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.74 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 10c | 5,515$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 8c | 3,910$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 8c | 1,654$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 8c | 1,357$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 8c | 1,248$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 4c | 1,109$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 1,051$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 8c | 1,046$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Under | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 8c | 968.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…a9efbacked Under | 12c | 947.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Under | 8c | 767.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Under | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 8c | 703.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 8c | 539.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Under | 14c | 351.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked Under | 13c | 278.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 9c | 253.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Under | 9c | 215.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Under | 9c | 207.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…237cbacked Under | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 9c | 131.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 9c | 117.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Under | 17c | 67.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Spain won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.