TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,998 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5faf…1183backed Over18c5,998$1,080 inLost-$1,079.649823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over17c4,993$849 inLost-$848.752,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over19c4,007$758 inLost-$758.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c3,157$564 inLost-$563.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c2,745$491 inLost-$491.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c2,277$296 inLost-$295.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c887.7$99 inLost-$99.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over17c745.17$130 inLost-$129.861,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c700$21 inLost-$212,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over14c696.21$97 inLost-$97.4733120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over15c550.98$83 inLost-$83.3648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over10c500$50 inLost-$5019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over18c500$90 inLost-$9095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over18c308$55 inLost-$55.2865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost-$5020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over20c279.38$55 inLost-$54.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23c…ffacbacked Over19c264.41$50 inLost-$504247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over20c250$50 inLost-$5034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over12c190$23 inLost-$23.111811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over18c157.91$28 inLost-$27.953,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over19c157.89$30 inLost-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Over23c148.09$34 inLost-$34.063941%16 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0763…6d79backed Over20c125$25 inLost-$254010%4 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over17c120$20 inLost-$20.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35e…0440backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked Over18c111.11$20 inLost-$207064.3%45 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over18c104$18 inLost-$18.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over17c99.99$17 inLost-$174731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Over13c90$12 inLost-$11.710335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over20c75$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$108130.9%25 W · 56 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under79c19$15 inWon+$3.991,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Under80c13.27$11 inWon+$2.655682.1%46 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.