TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa35e…0440

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10743.9%47 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT9640.6%39 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+157.1%+$31.41
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+59.3%+$23.73
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.