TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c13,120$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,49685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c12,168$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,723.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c10,787$8,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,586.551,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No80c10,625$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c10,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.8138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No80c7,257$5,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,805.63452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes42c5,556$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.057548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes20c5,322$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.595942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes22c5,267$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.32958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c5,220$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.74,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c5,098$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.2596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Yes21c5,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.954748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c4,798$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,790.421,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.912532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes21c4,753$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.131643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes21c4,693$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.815748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No17c4,630$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.3746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No17c4,610$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes44c4,567$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.457732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c4,350$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.762,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No80c4,250$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4004652.2%24 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c4,085$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.7468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes21c4,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c3,232$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.5784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c3,063$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes22c3,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9415944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes78c2,821$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes21c2,702$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.64233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c2,697$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.391,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No12c2,646$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3731747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No80c2,625$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Yes21c2,609$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes37c2,480$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.521,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c2,291$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3815735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No26c2,209$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.386240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c2,179$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.081,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes22c2,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5704252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No80c1,810$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No61c1,648$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8341343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes76c1,637$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6824146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No79c1,600$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c1,549$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.6252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed No27c1,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes33c1,494$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.6110053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes46c1,437$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.486134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No80c1,375$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No79c1,300$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.9675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed No80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+61%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6989…41acbacked Yes22c1,241$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c1,224$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No49c1,176$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.247048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed No60c1,154$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes22c1,118$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.1224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes22c1,082$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.821827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b6…af36backed Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c999.88$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.917853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes78c902.9$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.954751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No79c887.45$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.094353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.274731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c740.3$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No17c700.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7410540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes21c676.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.1914636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…a8b9backed Yes23c601.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+202.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No55c598.77$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c594$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…f291backed Yes22c587.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f1…d04cbacked Yes22c574.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+204.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5526…9318backed Yes23c573.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes18c557.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.484626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No80c551$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.829458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes70c516.15$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52f…0429backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c7…a582backed No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e8…d98dbacked Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a6…3384backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No24c492.28$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6811430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c480$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes21c480$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.211923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.196136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes27c470.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes22c458.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.12450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+55.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No45c452.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4416150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5a41backed Yes75c433.42$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes80c421.37$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.275759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes70c410.21$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.067742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Yes21c405$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db9…7572backed No80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes68c377$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0af2…de45backed Yes22c376.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…87dcbacked Yes22c369.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…b22bbacked Yes22c363.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes75c351$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.