TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,157,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,368,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b9c…7e44backed No69c161,289$111,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,999.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No69c150,000$103,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,499.931478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes31c138,653$42,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,982.4112848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c125,409$38,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,844.0129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c80,106$55,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,745.2966446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes31c50,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,499.962240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No69c40,162$27,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,485.472951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes1c29,941$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c28,804$19,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,929.1927247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes7c23,169$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.1716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No69c22,609$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,008.77542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes31c19,363$5,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,934.212344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…a66abacked Yes31c16,129$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes32c15,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1005550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes0c8,750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c8,700$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No79c7,901$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.2920462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No69c7,541$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.713548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c7,177$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.4340143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Yes1c7,142$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked No70c6,869$4,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.861586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No69c6,761$4,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.973447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No68c6,646$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.7613843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked No70c6,571$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes31c6,530$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c6,252$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.9960041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes2c5,631$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.367132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d8…2e25backed Yes20c5,444$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick24cpaid+112.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c5,269$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c5,050$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c5,046$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.775145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c5,002$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.578523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes31c4,983$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.072536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c4,957$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8210628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8d…58e3backed No70c4,864$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c4,492$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.6226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes0c3,802$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.013122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes6c3,600$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.454126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes30c3,402$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.6929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes19c3,382$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.13748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes24c3,375$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c2,873$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.7238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes11c2,800$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…cc70backed Yes1c2,450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No70c2,321$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.175955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes31c2,236$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.074325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes31c2,234$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.514732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes4c2,159$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.84110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked No69c2,145$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes1c2,129$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No69c2,100$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No68c2,047$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.912744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.995046%23 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes4c1,948$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes25c1,845$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes32c1,600$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4964641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes14c1,529$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.635230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650e…9147backed Yes2c1,380$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c1,300$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No69c1,250$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.493132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c1,192$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3929746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529c…210ebacked Yes22c1,164$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes17c1,156$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes31c1,148$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes31c1,147$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+192.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes9c1,128$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf448…64cabacked Yes1c1,089$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-61.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes17c1,083$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1792425%6 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes31c1,074$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed No70c1,048$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b1…6140backed Yes10c1,043$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7099…1c59backed Yes31c1,020$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.991118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No71c1,014$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.063050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…2882backed Yes31c1,013$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+122.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ec…2892backed Yes32c1,001$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c999.96$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.996141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No69c999$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6910845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c996$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3712352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4c…7e4cbacked Yes32c910.81$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes16c906.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes18c863.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c3…20b7backed Yes12c844.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…a4b0backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff8b…a251backed Yes31c808.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ae…fdbabacked No69c807.42$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No68c799.51$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.849043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.