Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b9d4f224865153a20b496120c4551b45d8d692971acb340fffbe67b4f4b8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Machac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Musetti | 61c | 32,543$19,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,563.42 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Machac | 35c | 31,477$11,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,017.11 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Machac | 38c | 30,000$11,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,449.91 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Musetti | 63c | 29,723$18,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Machac | 33c | 25,620$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Machac | 34c | 20,725$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Musetti | 61c | 19,522$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,521.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Musetti | 77c | 18,082$13,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.67 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Machac | 33c | 15,782$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Machac | 38c | 12,500$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Machac | 39c | 12,424$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.21 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Machac | 31c | 11,714$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.15 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 65c | 11,349$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Machac | 37c | 11,138$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Machac | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Machac | 37c | 7,739$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.73 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Machac | 40c | 7,311$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Machac | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Musetti | 62c | 5,825$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.93 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Machac | 37c | 5,816$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.44 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Musetti | 55c | 5,500$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Musetti | 63c | 5,476$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.19 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Machac | 38c | 5,300$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.97 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…a1f1backed Musetti | 59c | 5,040$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Musetti | 55c | 4,564$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.97 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…7adebacked Musetti | 79c | 4,276$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Musetti | 64c | 4,262$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.91 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Musetti | 63c | 4,127$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Machac | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Musetti | 59c | 3,922$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.43 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…556ebacked Musetti | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Musetti | 59c | 3,395$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.95 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Machac | 38c | 3,332$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Musetti | 61c | 3,281$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 62c | 3,279$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.92 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Musetti | 68c | 3,115$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.58 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Musetti | 60c | 3,099$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Musetti | 63c | 3,030$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.92 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Machac | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…60dabacked Machac | 38c | 2,907$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Musetti | 71c | 2,895$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.75 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Machac | 35c | 2,825$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Machac | 41c | 2,755$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.56 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Machac | 42c | 2,672$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.25 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Machac | 35c | 2,604$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Machac | 13c | 2,524$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Machac | 43c | 2,484$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Musetti | 80c | 2,431$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.57 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…e422backed Machac | 41c | 2,409$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Machac | 41c | 2,399$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.88 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Musetti | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…c3c9backed Musetti | 60c | 2,278$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Machac | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Machac | 46c | 2,196$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Musetti | 62c | 2,153$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.14 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Musetti | 62c | 2,033$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.05 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Machac | 35c | 2,022$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.7 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Musetti | 60c | 2,005$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Musetti | 65c | 1,851$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Machac | 36c | 1,787$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Musetti | 68c | 1,680$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.43 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Musetti | 64c | 1,671$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Musetti | 59c | 1,629$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.89 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Musetti | 63c | 1,509$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.57 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Machac | 37c | 1,412$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Musetti | 63c | 1,375$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Musetti | 70c | 1,362$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Musetti | 46c | 1,327$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Machac | 56c | 1,253$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.94 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Musetti | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Machac | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Machac | 35c | 1,104$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Machac | 30c | 1,085$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Musetti | 63c | 1,080$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Musetti | 62c | 1,045$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.47 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Machac | 33c | 1,044$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Musetti | 63c | 1,006$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Machac | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked Machac | 32c | 987.24$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Musetti | 58c | 977.66$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Musetti | 64c | 916.56$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.17 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Musetti | 75c | 898.89$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Machac | 22c | 892.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Machac | 40c | 891.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Musetti | 74c | 880.77$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.84 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Musetti | 80c | 875.28$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 60c | 855.93$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Machac | 37c | 841.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.24 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Machac | 40c | 790.22$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.01 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1f26backed Machac | 18c | 779.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Musetti | 64c | 770$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Machac | 24c | 749.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Musetti | 55c | 749.94$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Musetti | 54c | 715.33$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.33 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Musetti | 63c | 692.97$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Machac | 37c | 676.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Musetti | 65c | 674.25$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Musetti | 62c | 623.22$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Musetti | 41c | 599.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Machac | 37c | 578.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacthis page
- Musetti vs. Machac: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Musetti vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs MachacMachac won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)Machac won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-2.5) vs Machac (+2.5)Machac won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.