Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a81ab01b9bd20133ddb368368e4fcecde6a0561fdeb2b2ddfbcbc747ee07e9

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Panamaof Croatia, Panama
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,864,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,876,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,864,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Panama	55c	545,613$301,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243,629.18	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Croatia	45c	440,073$200,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panama	62c	385,399$240,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145,339.33	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Croatia	41c	200,000$82,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,999.91	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Croatia	44c	110,604$48,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,565.72	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Croatia	44c	73,743$32,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,289.54	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Croatia	42c	71,208$30,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,231.97	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Croatia	23c	67,289$15,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,364.42	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Panama	59c	67,044$39,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,487.9	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Panama	57c	60,963$34,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,214.01	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Panama	57c	47,000$26,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,209.89	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Croatia	44c	45,455$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Croatia	42c	43,258$18,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,260.38	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Croatia	46c	40,000$18,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,400	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Croatia	41c	36,950$15,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,149.45	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Croatia	35c	34,870$12,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,328.36	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Panama	55c	33,588$18,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,114.45	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Croatia	44c	32,535$14,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,369.22	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Panama	58c	32,425$18,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,507.31	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Panama	55c	30,000$16,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,500	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia	41c	26,675$10,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,867.45	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Croatia	43c	26,025$11,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,190.68	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Panama	58c	23,600$13,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,923.44	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Croatia	39c	23,376$9,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,114.98	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Croatia	41c	21,973$9,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,007.13	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Croatia	43c	21,462$9,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,228.56	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Croatia	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Panama	57c	19,584$11,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,330.62	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	+8.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Croatia	41c	17,916$7,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,345.64	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panama	71c	17,622$12,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,135.26	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Croatia	28c	17,543$4,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,912.02	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Croatia	45c	17,499$7,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,824.56	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Croatia	43c	16,900$7,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,267	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Croatia	30c	15,653$4,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,670.82	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Panama	56c	15,350$8,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,797.13	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Panama	61c	15,000$9,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,800	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Panama	57c	14,035$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,035.09	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Panama	55c	14,000$7,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,229.97	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Croatia	44c	13,747$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Panama	57c	12,000$6,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,160	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Panama	55c	12,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.93	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panama	61c	11,700$7,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,601.04	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Croatia	44c	11,364$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Panama	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Panama	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Panama	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Panama	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panama	56c	9,415$5,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,126.66	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Croatia	41c	9,224$3,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,781.84	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Panama	57c	8,519$4,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,667.59	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Croatia	40c	8,500$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Panama	59c	8,418$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,418.08	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Panama	58c	8,085$4,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,395.7	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Croatia	43c	8,000$3,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,440	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Panama	54c	8,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,680	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Panama	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.99	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Panama	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.95	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Panama	63c	7,937$4,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,952.01	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panama	56c	7,793$4,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,409.56	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Croatia	45c	7,777$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.65	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Panama	55c	7,500$4,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,370	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panama	58c	7,500$4,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,153.89	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Panama	66c	7,253$4,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,466.68	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Croatia	42c	7,143$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Panama	56c	7,143$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,142.86	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Croatia	26c	7,100$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.9	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Panama	65c	7,053$4,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,468.49	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Croatia	43c	6,977$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Panama	59c	6,824$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,823.51	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Croatia	38c	6,186$2,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,369.51	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Panama	72c	6,121$4,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.98	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Panama	58c	6,000$3,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.97	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panama	58c	6,000$3,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.87	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Panama	54c	5,600$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,576.12	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Panama	58c	5,555$3,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,353.85	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panama	58c	5,530$3,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,326.26	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama	72c	5,427$3,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.54	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Panama	57c	5,272$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,248.6	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Panama	58c	5,254$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,194.24	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac35…c2d4backed Panama	56c	5,176$2,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.46	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae38…66aabacked Panama	58c	5,172$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,172.41	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Croatia	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Croatia	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Panama	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.99	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Croatia	43c	4,662$2,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.59	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Croatia	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Croatia	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Croatia	45c	4,500$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Croatia	43c	4,500$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Panama	59c	4,422$2,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.43	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Panama	59c	4,407$2,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,812.34	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Panama	64c	4,094$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.72	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Croatia	40c	4,000$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.58	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Panama	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Panama	57c	3,689$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.85	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Panama	77c	3,675$2,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.07	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Croatia	41c	3,632$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.4	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Panama	54c	3,562$1,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.43	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panama	58c	3,500$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.59	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Croatia	43c	3,488$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	126	34.9%44 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)this page
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event