TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,719 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over8c14,783$1,174 inLost-$1,173.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked Over8c4,744$365 inLost-$364.9680%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c4,126$34 inLost-$33.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over8c3,807$300 inLost-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over8c3,222$244 inLost-$2446418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over8c2,133$169 inLost-$169.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over7c1,727$125 inLost-$125.1415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost-$10018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over6c1,029$59 inLost-$59.22,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over8c1,026$77 inLost-$7722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over8c1,012$78 inLost-$78.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over6c699$41 inLost-$40.5458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over7c666.67$50 inLost-$5010911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over7c660$43 inLost-$42.913046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over8c650$50 inLost-$50.0545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over8c632.91$50 inLost-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over8c554.97$42 inLost-$42.1851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over4c480$21 inLost-$21.159830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ff…2f95backed Over8c399.88$31 inLost-$30.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over7c395.58$28 inLost-$27.6934844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over8c384.62$30 inLost-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over8c350$28 inLost-$27.512128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over8c299.43$23 inLost-$23.1987938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over8c263.16$20 inLost-$2029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over8c250$19 inLost-$1943819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over8c200$16 inLost-$15.812013.3%16 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over6c200$11 inLost-$1146525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ab…e594backed Over8c178.03$14 inLost-$13.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c175.24$12 inLost-$12.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.