TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over9c8,307$785 inLost-$785.4565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over18c5,000$900 inLost-$90038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c2,964$258 inLost-$258.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over18c2,311$416 inLost-$415.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c1,903$149 inLost-$148.744,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c1,193$155 inLost-$155.091,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over9c1,024$97 inLost-$96.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost-$1606258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over6c924.36$52 inLost-$51.772,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c903$117 inLost-$116.721,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c799.99$25 inLost-$252,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over20c758.64$150 inLost-$15017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over18c598.42$108 inLost-$108.073,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over18c532.95$96 inLost-$962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under79c532.78$422 inWon+$110.821,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over20c500$100 inLost-$10025510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Over21c500$105 inLost-$1059723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c479$86 inLost-$86.222,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Over14c350$49 inLost-$4912045%54 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over22c300$66 inLost-$6623540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over15c299.93$45 inLost-$44.999351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e3…5ef0backed Over18c251$46 inLost-$45.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf9…229ebacked Over18c216.8$39 inLost-$39.023745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over9c193.44$17 inLost-$17.2287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over19c185$35 inLost-$35.157911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over14c179.99$25 inLost-$24.635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over18c166.67$30 inLost-$3021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over18c120$22 inLost-$21.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187c…8708backed Over21c79.57$17 inLost-$16.713729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c73.64$58 inWon+$16.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf422…078fbacked Over22c63.64$14 inLost-$14933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over18c60$11 inLost-$10.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over20c50$10 inLost-$109335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.