TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ad4…6866backed Under64c31,518$20,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,346.458435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over36c23,715$8,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,537.424235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c12,754$8,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c7,541$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c5,400$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over26c2,478$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9213447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over13c2,394$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over37c2,166$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.087930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over34c2,023$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c1,865$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c1,857$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.0970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c1,445$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c1,271$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over37c1,216$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c969.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over36c969.22$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c885.95$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.521,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over37c773.23$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c704.69$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over39c701.33$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.529325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over37c699.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c675.63$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over37c673.59$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.238725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22221640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over38c449.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.841,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under63c444$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2831046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over34c437.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14919939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over37c425.59$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.471,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under63c425.32$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.371,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c419.58$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c409.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c399$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.982,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over37c387.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.525930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over37c345.95$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10827028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over25c299.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.548328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Under75c264.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.197963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f8…f4cfbacked Under76c259.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Under64c256.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.286942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over38c216.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over39c203.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.671,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c201$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over18c196.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.321353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under63c163.12$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.491,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b7…b0b3backed Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over22c154$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8830836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308130.9%25 W · 56 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over20c146.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2611040%44 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Over37c129.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5832356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c108.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf1…8c29backed Over37c101.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3817735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over15c96.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over18c92.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over26c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.735034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60dc…ee25backed Over38c87.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under63c86.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3281554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under63c83.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8938351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019219.8%38 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over35c62.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.011,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.245949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Over20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230e…45b4backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5d…7590backed Over37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984632.6%15 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bfd…29a4backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1d…d2afbacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over37c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under63c48.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9116030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under68c47.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1216165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…0991backed Over32c47.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under63c42.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.