TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,250 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under70c955.34$667 inWon+$288.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c742.21$245 inLost-$245.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under50c595.31$300 inWon+$295.3116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over49c586.66$289 inLost-$289.0822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c541.48$168 inLost-$167.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Over50c515.43$255 inLost-$255.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over50c400.79$200 inLost-$20010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Under71c376.2$267 inWon+$109.67963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over51c365.9$187 inLost-$186.568831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over19c353.61$66 inLost-$66.4630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c340.56$170 inWon+$170.2853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffb…2581backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon+$36.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c135.74$49 inLost-$49.132,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over48c106.67$51 inLost-$5123528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under52c102.83$53 inWon+$49.3610146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over51c96.49$49 inLost-$49.167149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under48c96.15$46 inWon+$501,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed Under55c91.69$50 inWon+$41.6920146.8%94 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over25c87.15$21 inLost-$21.412,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c60$30 inLost-$3026946.8%126 W · 143 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf71d…85cebacked Under44c58.7$26 inWon+$33.071625%4 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Under53c56.92$30 inWon+$26.9319450.5%98 W · 96 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Under52c49.97$26 inWon+$23.9910359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c42.85$20 inLost-$20.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Under55c36.55$20 inWon+$16.5518554.6%101 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over41c33$14 inLost-$13.612,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c27.64$14 inLost-$13.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d9d…6703backed Under60c25$15 inWon+$10875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over49c24.91$12 inLost-$12.1987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0c…80babacked Over51c21.76$11 inLost-$111526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under58c20$12 inWon+$8.44852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.