TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Croatia (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Panamaof Croatia, Panama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59f4…c1f1backed Croatia9c11,215$1,009 inLost-$1,009.388135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Croatia11c9,091$1,000 inLost-$1,0004233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia10c9,045$860 inLost-$860.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Croatia10c4,854$464 inLost-$4641323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Croatia2c3,325$59 inLost-$58.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Croatia11c3,182$350 inLost-$35018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Croatia11c2,477$272 inLost-$272.4628025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Croatia7c2,000$140 inLost-$14037237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Croatia10c2,000$200 inLost-$200238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Croatia2c1,684$28 inLost-$28.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Croatia10c1,500$150 inLost-$1505121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Croatia10c1,500$150 inLost-$15026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa761…866bbacked Croatia7c1,429$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Croatia11c1,315$145 inLost-$144.684626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Croatia11c1,085$119 inLost-$119.3538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Croatia11c1,000$110 inLost-$11060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Croatia10c954.55$100 inLost-$10014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Croatia5c855.56$40 inLost-$4012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Croatia10c748.62$73 inLost-$72.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Croatia7c513.27$34 inLost-$33.654,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Croatia10c500$50 inLost-$5026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Croatia11c455$50 inLost-$506918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Croatia11c454.55$50 inLost-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f5…7876backed Croatia10c320.9$32 inLost-$32.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x496b…f9c6backed Croatia10c300$30 inLost-$30527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed Croatia11c300$33 inLost-$332832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-44.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Croatia9c284.39$26 inLost-$25.645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed Croatia10c250$25 inLost-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Croatia10c238$24 inLost-$23.851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Croatia10c200$20 inLost-$206516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Croatia5c200$10 inLost-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…f04fbacked Croatia11c190.91$21 inLost-$211625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Croatia9c150$14 inLost-$13.520138.3%77 W · 124 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Croatia11c132$15 inLost-$14.5223227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Croatia10c110$11 inLost-$118932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Croatia10c100$10 inLost-$105350.9%27 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+72.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.