TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c49,192$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c37,398$22,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,531.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c10,856$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Over28c7,479$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under61c7,093$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.9364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over4c6,324$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under45c5,705$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.7644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under78c4,370$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.1430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c3,761$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.712,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under34c3,379$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.5836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over56c3,040$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.476848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under61c2,934$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.2115040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c2,642$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under60c2,560$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Under34c2,059$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.852437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c1,637$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under58c1,606$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.8419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under58c1,585$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.3733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Over66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over36c1,351$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c1,329$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Over2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over41c1,211$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c1,206$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.82,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over1c1,177$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8734122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over18c1,159$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over78c1,010$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over63c1,008$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under40c999.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.997044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under29c999.05$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.3370648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under66c994.57$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.432,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over45c992.3$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.144,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over51c982.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over15c925.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.332,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under11c900.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.595724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over51c888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.887930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over32c883.96$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under57c882.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1323637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over70c851.96$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under62c807.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.15955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over30c707.83$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c674.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.281,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under40c671.19$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.426647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a20…cd26backed Under54c647.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.793647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dca…ed09backed Over50c625.76$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.883053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over53c616$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.521,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under68c611.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.62,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over68c603.31$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.251,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over65c599.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9922153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over2c591$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over41c580.77$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over72c567.41$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over36c558.25$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.741,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under27c554.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under29c500.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over67c499.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9912040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under77c490.91$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over73c479.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over71c478.87$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over63c477.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1d…d2afbacked Over12c477.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under27c467.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.273,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under30c451.87$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under67c449.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.362,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over45c434.78$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.655955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under65c421.75$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under27c414.61$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.811,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35223440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…39e8backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.163638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c375.66$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over33c375.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over78c353.5$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7113247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over44c348.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…9634backed Over7c329.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over17c321.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under42c311.84$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18217442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over62c300$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18720651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c299.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e49…7186backed Under26c284.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over70c283.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under51c245.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0929740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f7…d6cabacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over65c234.09$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.281,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under39c208.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2532740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over49c208.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9416549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under30c201.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.31520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under54c189.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under28c188.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.885930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over24c185.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Under28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5711233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over53c176$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over41c172.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6817534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.826738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Over38c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…68b8backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.