Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0ebfa67c7fe2e6cd8cb888a04ad51c10309b0a2cfb1cb29ed7ce7b2c72bdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 18c | 2,771$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 10c | 1,448$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 593.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 517.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 17c | 348.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…9dd8backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…a43abacked Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 19c | 278.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 20c | 251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 17c | 207.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 155.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 19c | 154.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 150.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…992fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…4454backed Yes | 19c | 80.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 72.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Yes | 19c | 71.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…4cbdbacked Yes | 19c | 62.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.