TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$710,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$709,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under66c137,634$91,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,420.5733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over34c100,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over35c41,859$14,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,650.784456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c41,556$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c31,751$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over33c17,900$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.9914553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over3c13,421$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over19c13,048$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.361,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under66c12,273$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.735442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c11,650$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over35c10,091$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.691,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over35c8,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c8,134$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked Under76c7,259$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.510442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over31c6,925$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.0138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Under67c6,361$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.9915042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over5c6,345$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under65c5,945$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.8777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over8c5,724$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.861,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under66c5,653$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.1832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over12c5,543$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2312114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over35c4,840$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.0628025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over7c4,504$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.861,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over24c4,500$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over34c4,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3208337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Over32c3,921$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.515937.3%22 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over7c3,125$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.752,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c2,916$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.681,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c2,638$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0116325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over16c2,470$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Over36c2,228$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over33c2,109$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.1374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c1,964$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5323831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over34c1,867$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.671,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c1,610$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c1,575$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.842,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9911436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under74c1,333$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5820334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over33c1,254$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1452744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over8c1,183$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6414612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under74c1,114$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.616165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Under77c1,039$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.966532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over10c1,012$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Over35c1,010$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3810135.6%36 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c986.46$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under65c893.51$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over35c845.03$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7614323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked Under67c791.04$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.045633.9%19 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under66c780.3$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.34665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c761.11$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2723353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under80c735.39$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Under68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2910450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c704.91$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c674.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Over34c650$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217030%21 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ce…fe1fbacked Over33c610$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.34833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ee…4abebacked Over26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf906…1567backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8413…5af6backed Under65c577$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.952263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over35c555$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over11c518.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.742,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over32c511.26$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.151,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over34c493.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over34c485.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over11c482.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under67c480.35$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.741,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under67c480.15$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.681,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under78c465.23$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.351,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f6…0fd4backed Over35c461.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3780%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c444.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1817453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Under69c437.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.686150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under70c428.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.73658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over33c414.91$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.929325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under72c414.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7627951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf24…a697backed Under72c414.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.729452.1%49 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over35c414.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under66c413.32$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.931,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over34c410.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4130142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.