Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4243a8c232a24e6360479af1af06978d17599a6f5caeef6ceda572881cdaabd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 63c | 1,650$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.46 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Over | 64c | 1,573$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,525$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,070$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Under | 50c | 997.88$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.94 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Under | 39c | 711.46$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Under | 40c | 693.8$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 38c | 600$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 37c | 560.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.89 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 36c | 486.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 63c | 481.04$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.78 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Over | 64c | 424.45$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 62c | 376.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Under | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 64c | 252.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 36c | 219.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 215.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 189.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Under | 40c | 155.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…e0babacked Over | 63c | 143.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…c80fbacked Under | 36c | 127.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 82.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 37c | 70.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ac72backed Under | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 36c | 52.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 37c | 50.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Under | 66c | 50.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 43.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Under | 49c | 41.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…656abacked Over | 64c | 31.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 31.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…0c34backed Over | 61c | 24.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 60c | 23.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.