Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919e77feb14a8bf0a6f0f69d9c0dd79f9b165e4df48e45c37d64bd93249611c2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Panamaof Croatia, Panama
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $549,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $527,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Croatia	25c	183,966$45,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,750	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panama	75c	158,468$118,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,569.58	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panama	78c	149,818$116,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,602.35	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Croatia	23c	68,303$15,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,992.72	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed Croatia	24c	20,278$4,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,866.82	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia	18c	17,149$3,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142.88	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Croatia	23c	15,068$3,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,465.58	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panama	76c	14,000$10,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Croatia	23c	11,067$2,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.01	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Croatia	23c	10,870$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Panama	77c	9,900$7,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Croatia	11c	8,472$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.58	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Panama	77c	7,363$5,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.21	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Panama	77c	7,191$5,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.93	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Croatia	23c	6,803$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.64	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Croatia	24c	4,283$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.92	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Croatia	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Croatia	20c	3,845$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.99	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Panama	77c	3,495$2,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.94	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Croatia	19c	3,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Croatia	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.96	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Panama	77c	2,214$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.2	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Croatia	23c	2,200$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Croatia	11c	2,074$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.83	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Croatia	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-84.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Croatia	23c	1,957$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Croatia	22c	1,818$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.5	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Croatia	22c	1,800$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Croatia	23c	1,683$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.18	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Croatia	24c	1,667$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Croatia	23c	1,623$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.23	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Croatia	22c	1,535$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.99	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Croatia	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Croatia	24c	1,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Croatia	23c	1,293$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Croatia	24c	1,235$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.47	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Panama	76c	1,200$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa761…866bbacked Croatia	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x074b…af96backed Croatia	23c	1,083$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Croatia	12c	1,061$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.77	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Panama	76c	1,056$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.52	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Croatia	23c	1,043$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Croatia	24c	1,042$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Panama	78c	1,002$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.89	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Panama	77c	1,000$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.67	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Panama	76c	999.96$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.99	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Croatia	23c	999.57$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.53	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Croatia	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	+12.7wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Croatia	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Croatia	23c	836.3$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.35	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Croatia	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Croatia	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Croatia	22c	788.21$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Croatia	22c	707.43$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.68	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Croatia	23c	658$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.34	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Croatia	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Croatia	22c	645.29$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.96	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe960…a960backed Croatia	23c	629.35$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.75	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…1028backed Panama	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Croatia	24c	625$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	263	43%113 W · 150 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e3…76ecbacked Croatia	24c	612.04$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.89	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Croatia	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Croatia	23c	538.09$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.76	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Panama	77c	517.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.29	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Croatia	22c	512.28$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.13	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Croatia	11c	462.06$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Croatia	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Croatia	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Croatia	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b27…01fdbacked Croatia	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Panama	78c	431.63$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.66	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Croatia	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Croatia	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Panama	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Croatia	6c	399$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Croatia	23c	347.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Croatia	23c	326.09$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	169	50.9%86 W · 83 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed Croatia	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Croatia	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Panama	77c	299.99$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Croatia	23c	281.12$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.19	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…8703backed Croatia	22c	272.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Croatia	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	92	27.2%25 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Panama	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	432	46.8%202 W · 230 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Panama	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	211	33.2%70 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Croatia	23c	245.35$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Croatia	20c	245.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Croatia	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Croatia	13c	229.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Croatia	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Croatia	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Croatia	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Croatia	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c57…42c3backed Croatia	24c	210$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Croatia	19c	210$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	348	44.3%154 W · 194 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Croatia	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Croatia	24c	204.17$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0a…67a8backed Croatia	22c	203.68$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.81	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Panama	78c	200.41$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.74	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Croatia	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)this page
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event