Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf709908e8bb77938b511729afa3b0116a1eb11e55a8d9b4fff9ec1ec2a17b1

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $161,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,310 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x14eb…2e34backed Over	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	12c	11,446$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.1	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	18c	11,300$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	4c	6,556$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.16	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	17c	4,444$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.48	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	12c	4,062$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.11	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	18c	3,333$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over	4c	2,300$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	17c	1,722$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.26	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	5c	1,435$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	99	36.4%36 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	2c	1,423$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over	17c	1,353$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	18c	1,298$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.93	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over	5c	1,141$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.31	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	1,054$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.43	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over	13c	999.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	3c	980.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	3c	954.18$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.63	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	17c	699.89$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.98	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	18c	694.44$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over	3c	679.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Over	18c	669.93$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	6c	633.08$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	18c	555$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over	18c	433.33$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over	18c	319.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	121	28.1%34 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	17c	311.76$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over	17c	309.32$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.58	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over	17c	246.77$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	285	44.6%127 W · 158 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	14c	220.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.86	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	263	43%113 W · 150 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Over	18c	144.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	17c	124.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed Over	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over	17c	110.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…67e6backed Over	17c	100.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d59…0f55backed Over	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Over	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	120	30.8%37 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over	13c	88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	15c	82.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Over	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606e…cbd3backed Over	18c	71.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5this page
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event